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This article discusses the development of a linear regression model for assessing business value in the oil and gas sector of Uzbekistan. The model integrates key economic and operational variables, such as global oil and gas prices, political stability, macroeconomic indicators, sales volumes, and others, including EBITDA and debt level. The study focuses on the statistical significance of variables and their impact on market value, thus providing a basis for strategic management and planning in the industry.

  • Read count 64
  • Date of publication 27-12-2024
  • Main LanguageIngliz
  • Pages9-16
English

This article discusses the development of a linear regression model for assessing business value in the oil and gas sector of Uzbekistan. The model integrates key economic and operational variables, such as global oil and gas prices, political stability, macroeconomic indicators, sales volumes, and others, including EBITDA and debt level. The study focuses on the statistical significance of variables and their impact on market value, thus providing a basis for strategic management and planning in the industry.

Ўзбек

Ushbu maqolada O‘zbekiston neft-gaz sanoatida biznes qiymatini baholash uchun chiziqli regressiya modelini ishlab chiqish muhokama qilinadi. Model jahon neft va gaz narxlari, siyosiy barqarorlik, makroiqtisodiy ko‘rsatkichlar, savdo hajmlari va boshqalar, shu jumladan, EBITDA va qarzdorlik darajasini o‘z ichiga olgan asosiy iqtisodiy va operatsion o‘zgaruvchilarni birlashtiradi. Tadqiqot o‘zgaruvchilarning statistik ahamiyatiga va ularning bozor qiymatiga ta’siriga e’tibor qaratadi, shu bilan sanoatda strategik boshqarish va rejalashtirish uchun asos yaratadi.

Русский

В статье рассматривается разработка линейной регрессионной модели для оценки стоимости бизнеса в нефтегазовой отрасли Узбекистана. Модель интегрирует ключевые экономические и операционные переменные, такие как мировые цены на нефть и газ, политическая стабильность, макроэкономические индикаторы, объемы продаж, и другие, включая EBITDA и уровень долговой нагрузки. Исследование акцентирует внимание на статистической значимости переменных и их влиянии на рыночную стоимость, обеспечивая таким образом основу для стратегического управления и планирования в отрасли.

№ Name of reference
1 Agency (2023). Agency for the Management of State Assets of the Republic of Uzbekistan. Unified National Valuation Standard of the Republic of Uzbekistan (Registration No. 3487). Tashkent: Uzbekistan. Retrieved December 30, 2023.
2 Agency (2024). Agency for the Management of State Assets of the Republic of Uzbekistan. Document reference QMMB: 03/24/945/0653-son. Tashkent: Uzbekistan.
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11 Tretiakova, M. K. (2019). Adaptation of valuation techniques to the Russian market. Russian Journal of Valuation.
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