The article describes a methodology for modeling a network of hotels and other accommodation facilities, sanatoriums, travel companies and organizations, as well as objects of material cultural heritage of the Republic of Uzbekistan and provides an assessment of the tourism potential of the regions of Uzbekistan. In the process of econometric modeling of the tourist potential of the regions, the average indicators and rating ranking were used. On the basis of econometric modeling of the tourist potential of regions and the country as a whole, it is possible to identify development problems and outline ways and measures to overcome the corresponding shortcomings. At the same time, according to the results of the study, the duration of the tourist season in various regions of the country was analyzed, taking into account the tourist potential of each of them. The modern possibilities of the capacity of the tourist infrastructure of the regions have been determined and recommendations and proposals have been developed for the management bodies to increase the corresponding potential of the territories.
The article describes a methodology for modeling a network of hotels and other accommodation facilities, sanatoriums, travel companies and organizations, as well as objects of material cultural heritage of the Republic of Uzbekistan and provides an assessment of the tourism potential of the regions of Uzbekistan. In the process of econometric modeling of the tourist potential of the regions, the average indicators and rating ranking were used. On the basis of econometric modeling of the tourist potential of regions and the country as a whole, it is possible to identify development problems and outline ways and measures to overcome the corresponding shortcomings. At the same time, according to the results of the study, the duration of the tourist season in various regions of the country was analyzed, taking into account the tourist potential of each of them. The modern possibilities of the capacity of the tourist infrastructure of the regions have been determined and recommendations and proposals have been developed for the management bodies to increase the corresponding potential of the territories.
В статье излагается методика моделирования сети гостиниц и прочих средств размещения, санаториев, туристических фирм и организаций, а также объектов материального культурного наследия Республики Узбекистан и приводится оценка туристского потенциала регионов Узбекистана. В процессе эконометрического моделирования туристского потенциаа регионов использованы средние показатели и рейтинговое ранжирование. На базе эконометрического моделирования туристского потенциала регионов и страны в целом возможно выявить проблемы развития отрали и наметить пути и меры преодоления соответствующих недостатков. Вместе с тем, по результатам исследования проанализирована продолжитеьность туристского сезона в различных регионах страны с учѐтом туристского потенциала каждого из них. Определены современные возможности вместимости туристской инфраструктуры регионов и
разработаны рекомендации и предложения дляя органов управления по увелчению соответствующего потенциала территорий.
| № | Имя автора | Должность | Наименование организации |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahmudov M.M. | Dean of the Faculty of Tourism | Chirchik State Pedagogical Institute of Tashkent region |
| № | Название ссылки |
|---|---|
| 1 | Annex to the Concept of Tourism Development in the Republic of Uzbekistan for 2019- 2025. |
| 2 | Chhorn T. and Chaiboonsri C. (2018), Modeling and Forecasting Tourist Arrivals to Cambodja: An Application of ARIMA-GARCH Approach. Journal of Management, Economics and Industrial Organization, vol. 1. p. 19. |
| 3 | Chukiat Chaiboonsri, Prasert Chaitip (2012), The Modeling International Tourism Demand for Length of Stay in India: Social Development, Economics Development. Journal of Knowledge Management, Economics and Information Technology, vol. II, issue 2, pp. 1-8. |
| 4 | Data of the Andijan regional department of the State Committee for Tourism Development of the Republic of Uzbekistan. |
| 5 | Data of the State Statistics Committee of the Republic of Uzbekistan. |
| 6 | https://stat.uz/uz/open-information |
| 7 | Information of the Information-Analytical Department of the State Committee for Tourism Development of the Republic of Uzbekistan and the Silk Road Office. |
| 8 | Kamenskikh N.F. (2016), Cluster approach to managing the development of a regional tourist and recreational subsystem, Science of Science, vol. 8. No 2 (33). p. 41. (In Russ.). |
| 9 | Kiselova I.A., Tramova A.M. (2013), Modeling forecasting demand in the tourism market, Science of Science, vol. 5. No 6. pp. 1-7. (In Russ.). |
| 10 | Law of the Republic of Uzbekistan No. ZRU-419 of January 3, 2017 ―On Combating Corruption‖. Approved by the Legislative Chamber on November 24, 2016 and approved by the Senate on December 13, 2016. |
| 11 | Mirzayev A.T. (2019), Improvement of the integral assessment of the mechanism of recreational and tourist facilities. Bulletin of Science and Practice. vol. 5. No 2. pp. 127-134. (In Russ.). |
| 12 | Penz A.J. (1975), Outdoor recreation areas: capacity and formulation of use policy, Management Science, No 2, pp. 25-32. |
| 13 | Resolution of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan dated December 2, 2016, No PP-2666 ―On the organization of the State Committee for Tourism Development of the Republic of Uzbekistan‖. |
| 14 | Schechter M. (1971), Optimal goal achievement in the development of outdoor recreation facilitiec, Urban and Regional Planning (ed. Wilson A.G.), London, pp. 110-120. |
| 15 | Theoretical foundations of recreational geography (1975), Moscow, 223 p. |