11

The article analyzes the dynamics of Uzbekistan's exports of goods and services from 2010 to 2023. It assesses the diversification of both the commodity structure and the geographic distribution of exports using the export product concentration index and the export diversification index. Statistical analysis of trends in Uzbekistan's exports during this period highlights the urgent need to accelerate diversification in both the structure and geography of exports. It emphasizes increasing the share of finished goods with high added value in the export portfolio, as well as diversifying and expanding services exports and enhancing regional export activities. To achieve this faster export diversification, a comprehensive set of interrelated measures is required across various areas of economic policy. This includes improvements in trade, investment, and industrial policies, along with deeper institutional reforms.

  • O'qishlar soni 11
  • Nashr sanasi 31-10-2024
  • Asosiy tilIngliz
  • Sahifalar232-249
English

The article analyzes the dynamics of Uzbekistan's exports of goods and services from 2010 to 2023. It assesses the diversification of both the commodity structure and the geographic distribution of exports using the export product concentration index and the export diversification index. Statistical analysis of trends in Uzbekistan's exports during this period highlights the urgent need to accelerate diversification in both the structure and geography of exports. It emphasizes increasing the share of finished goods with high added value in the export portfolio, as well as diversifying and expanding services exports and enhancing regional export activities. To achieve this faster export diversification, a comprehensive set of interrelated measures is required across various areas of economic policy. This includes improvements in trade, investment, and industrial policies, along with deeper institutional reforms.

Ўзбек

Maqolada 2010-2023 yillarda O'zbekistondan tovarlar va xizmatlar eksporti dinamikasi tahlil qilinadi, eksportning tovar kontsentratsiyasi indeksi va eksportni diversifikatsiya indeksidan foydalanish asosida O'zbekiston eksportining tovar tarkibi va geografiyasini diversifikatsiya darajasi baholanadi. 2010-2023 yillarda O'zbekiston eksportini rivojlanish tendentsiyalarining statistik tahlili eksport tarkibi va geografiyasini diversifikatsiya qilishni jadallashtirish, tovar eksporti tarkibida yuqori qo'shilgan qiymatga ega tayyor tovarlar ulushini oshirish, xizmatlar eksportini kengaytirish va diversifikatsiya qilish, hududlarning eksport faoliyatini rivojlantirish zarurligini ko'rsatadi. Eksportni diversifikatsiya qilishni jadallashtirish iqtisodiy siyosatning turli yo'nalishlarida, shu jumladan savdo, investitsiya, sanoat siyosatini takomillashtirish va institutsional islohotlarni chuqurlashtirishda o'zaro bog'liq chora tadbirlar majmuini amalga oshirishni talab qiladi.

Русский

В статье проводится анализ динамики экспорта товаров и услуг из Узбекистана в 2010-2023 годах, оценивается степень диверсификации товарной структуры и географии экспорта Узбекистана на основе использования индекса товарной концентрации экспорта и индекса диверсификации экспорта. Статистический анализ тенденций развития экспорта Узбекистана в 2010-2023 годах показывает необходимость ускорения диверсификации структуры и географии экспорта, повышения доли готовых товаров с высокой добавленной стоимостью в экспортной корзине, увеличения и диверсификации экспорта услуг, развития экспортной деятельности регионов. Ускорение диверсификации экспорта требует осуществления комплекса взаимосвязанных мер в различных направлениях экономической политики, включая совершенствование торговой, инвестиционной, промышленной политики и углубление институциональных реформ.

Muallifning F.I.Sh. Lavozimi Tashkilot nomi
1 Sultanova G.. - Jahon iqtisodiyoti va Diplomatiya Universiteti
Havola nomi
1 Agosin, M. R. (2008). Export diversification and growth in emerging economies.
2 Agosin, M. R., Alvarez, R., and Bravo‐Ortega, C. (2012). Determinants of export diversification around the world: 1962–2000. The World Economy, 35(3), 295-315.
3 Al-Marhubi, F. (2000). Export diversification and growth: an empirical investigation. Applied economics letters, 7(9), 559-562.
4 Bebczuk, R. N., and Berrettoni, D. (2006). Explaining export diversification: an empirical analysis. Documentos de Trabajo.
5 Bleaney, M., and Greenaway, D. (2001). The impact of terms of trade and real exchange rate volatility on investment and growth in sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of development Economics, 65(2), 491-500.
6 Cadot, O., Carrère, C., and Strauss-Kahn, V. (2011a). Export diversification: what's behind the hump?. Review of Economics and Statistics, 93(2), 590-605.
7 Cadot, O., Carrère, C., and Strauss-Kahn, V. (2011b). Trade diversification: Drivers and impacts. Trade and employment: From myths to facts, 253-305.
8 Dennis, A. (2007). Trade costs, barriers to entry, and export diversification in developing countries (Vol. 4368). World Bank Publications.
9 Dennis, A., and Shepherd, B. (2011). Trade facilitation and export diversification. The World Economy, 34(1), 101-122.
10 Giri, R., Quayyum, M. S. N., and Yin, R. (2019). Understanding export diversification: Key drivers and policy implications. International Monetary Fund.
11 Hausmann R., and Klinger, B. (2006). Structural transformation and patterns of comparative advantage in the product space.
12 Hesse H. (2009). Export diversification and economic growth. Breaking into new markets: emerging lessons for export diversification, 2009, 55-80.
13 ITC (2023). Trade Statistics for International Business Development. Trade Map - Trade statistics for international business development. https://www.trademap.org/
14 Iwamoto, M., and Nabeshima, K. (2012). Can FDI promote export diversification and sophistication of host countries?: dynamic panel system GMM analysis. IDE Discussion Paper, 347.
15 Jetter, M., and Ramírez Hassan, A. (2015). Want export diversification? Educate the kids first. Economic Inquiry, 53(4), 1765-1782.
16 Klinger, B., and Lederman, D. (2006). Diversification, innovation, and imitation inside the global technological frontier. World Bank policy research working paper, (3872)
17 Lederman, D., and Maloney, W. F. (2007). Trade structure and growth. Natural resources: Neither curse nor destiny, 15-39.
18 Matthee, M., and Naudé, W. (2008, May). Export diversity and regional growth in a developing country context: Empirical evidence. In Regional Studies Association International Conference, Prague.
19 Ouedraogo, R., and Mineyama, T. (2023). Fostering Export Diversification in: Niger. International Monetary Fund.
20 Parteka, A., and Tamberi, M. (2011). Export diversification and development-empirical assessment. Universita'Politecnica delle Marche Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali Working Paper, (359).
21 Shepherd, B. (2010). Geographical diversification of developing country exports. World development, 38(9), 1217-1228.
22 UNCTAD Stat. (2024). UNCTADSTAT Data Centre. https://unctadstat.unctad.org/datacentre/
23 UNCTAD. (2018). Exports diversification and employment in Africa - UNCTAD. https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/aldc2018d3_en.pdf
24 Vogel, T. (2022). Structural and policy determinants of export diversification in Africa: A bilateral panel approach using Bayesian Model Averaging. Background paper commissioned by the UNCTAD secretariat.
25 WITS. (2022). World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS). World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS) | Data on Export, Import, Tariff, NTM. https://wits.worldbank.org/
26 WTO. (2023). World Trade Statistical https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/booksp_e/wtsr_2023_e.pdf
27 Чепель, С. В. (2018). Учет внешнеэкономического фактора в устойчивом развитии на постсоветском пространстве: пример Узбекистана. Россия: тенденции и перспективы развития, (13-1), 220-223.
Kutilmoqda