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Ushbu ishning asosiy maqsadi iqlim o‘zgarishida Markaziy Osiyo suv manbaalarining hozirgi ahvolini o‘rganish va jarayonlar rivoji moyilligini aniqlash. Markaziy Osiyodagi suv manbaalari va ularni global iqlim o‘zgarishi ta'siriga barqarorligini bashoratlash o‘rganilindi. Markaziy Osiyo hududida joylashgan hozirgi transchegaraviy daryolari, ko‘llar va muzliklar ahvoli geoaxborot  ma'lumotlari yordamida o‘rganilindi. Olimlar va mutahassislarning konseptual rivojlanish zamonaviy bashoratlashi shuni ko‘rsatadiki, iqlimning jadal isishi Markaziy Osiyoning hamma erida kuzatilmoqda. Olingan hisob-kitoblar shuni ko‘rsatadiki, 2050 yilgacha Amudaryo havzasiga tushadigan suv hajmi 10-15% qisqaradi va Sirdaryo havzasiga 6-10% ga qisqaradi.

 

  • Internet havola
  • DOI
  • UzSCI tizimida yaratilgan sana 06-08-2020
  • O'qishlar soni 526
  • Nashr sanasi 20-05-2020
  • Asosiy tilO'zbek
  • Sahifalar84-88
Kalit so'z
Ўзбек

Ushbu ishning asosiy maqsadi iqlim o‘zgarishida Markaziy Osiyo suv manbaalarining hozirgi ahvolini o‘rganish va jarayonlar rivoji moyilligini aniqlash. Markaziy Osiyodagi suv manbaalari va ularni global iqlim o‘zgarishi ta'siriga barqarorligini bashoratlash o‘rganilindi. Markaziy Osiyo hududida joylashgan hozirgi transchegaraviy daryolari, ko‘llar va muzliklar ahvoli geoaxborot  ma'lumotlari yordamida o‘rganilindi. Olimlar va mutahassislarning konseptual rivojlanish zamonaviy bashoratlashi shuni ko‘rsatadiki, iqlimning jadal isishi Markaziy Osiyoning hamma erida kuzatilmoqda. Olingan hisob-kitoblar shuni ko‘rsatadiki, 2050 yilgacha Amudaryo havzasiga tushadigan suv hajmi 10-15% qisqaradi va Sirdaryo havzasiga 6-10% ga qisqaradi.

 

Kalit so'z
English

The primary objective of this article was to evaluate Central Asia's current water resources against the background of ongoing climate change and to determine the trend in process development. Central Asian water resources have been researched, and their resistance to the effects of global climate change has been anticipated. The current state of trans-boundary rivers, lakes, and glaciers on Central Asian territory was defined using data from geo-information. Modern forecasting of conceptual developments of scientists and specialists shows that intensive climate warming is observed throughout Central Asia. The obtained calculations showed that by 2050 the volume of river runoff in the Amudarya river basin will be reduced by 10-15% and the river will be reduced. Syrdarya River will decrease by 6-10%.

Русский

Основной целью данной работы являлась оценка современного
состояния водных ресурсов Центральной Азии на фоне происходящих климатических изменений и определение тенденции развития процесса. Представлены результаты исследований водных  ресурсы Центральной Азии и прогнозирование их устойчивости к влиянию глобального изменения климата. Определено текущее состояние трансграничных рек, озер и ледников на территории Центральной Азии с использованием геоинформационных данных.  Современное прогнозирование концептуальных разработок ученых и специалистов показывает, что интенсивное потепление климата отмечается во всей Центральной Азии. Полученные расчеты показали,  что к 2050 г. объем речного стока в бассейне р. Амударья сократится на 10-15 % и р. Сырдарья на 6-10%.

Kalit so'z
№ Muallifning F.I.Sh. Lavozimi Tashkilot nomi
1 Raximova L.S. доцент TDTU
2 Ponamaryova T.V. ўқитувчи TDTU
3 Abdurakhmanov K.I. magistranti TDTU
4 Gafurov A.. o’qituvchisi GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
№ Havola nomi
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